If you like longshots, this week’s NASCAR Cup Series Crayon 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway is calling you.
In 51 Cup races on the 1.058 mile track, 10 different winners have come from outside the top 20 on the starting grid. It’s almost 20%.
The last to do so was Aric Almirola in 2021, who was 22nd. There were also five early winners there.
Kevin Harvick leads all active drivers with four wins at New Hampshire, the last in 2019.
And although William Byron leads all drivers this season with four Cup victories, he is not the favorite this week in Caesars Sportsbook. That honor goes to Christopher Bell at +500.
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Bell won the New Hampshire race last year and has a win this season (Bristol) and is fourth in driver points.
Byron is currently sitting at +900 odds to win his fifth checkered flag of 2023.
FrontPageBets takes a look at the drivers to watch in the Crayon 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on Sunday afternoon (2:30 p.m., USA Network).
(All ratings are courtesy of Caesars and are subject to change)
Pick to Win: Kevin Harvick (+1100)
While Harvick leads all active drivers in wins at New Hampshire, he’s also tied with Jeff Burton for most all in Cup Series history.
A win on Sunday would give Harvick five track wins of 1.058 miles and 61 overall in his 23-year career.
Harvick hasn’t won in 31 races, with his last victory coming in August 2022 at Richmond Raceway.
This season, Harvick is ninth in driver points and has seven top 10s and four top 5s.
In 39 career starts at New Hampshire, the No. 4 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford driver is averaging 12.2. He also has 14 top-5s and 23 top-10s.
Top 3: Christopher Bell (+160)
Not only did he win last year’s race, Bell dominated New Hampshire Motor Speedway in every facet of NASCAR.
Bell is one of only two drivers to have achieved victory lane in the top three NASCAR series – Craftsman Truck, Xfinity and Cup. Kyle Busch is the only other in NASCAR history to do the same on the 1.058 mile track.
In three career Cup starts at New Hampshire, Bell, driver of the No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota, has earned one win and two top-5 finishes.
Top 10: Kyle Busch (-175)
Kyle Busch has three career wins at New Hampshire, the last in 2017.
To go along with those three wins, Busch has 16 top-10 finishes, including 11 top-5 finishes in 31 career starts. His finishing average is 14.2 and he has led over 1,100 laps.
This season, Busch, who drives the No. 8 Chevy for Richard Childress Racing, is third in Cup points and has three wins in addition to 12 top-10s and seven top-5s.
The favorites bet to win the Crayon 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway
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Mike Szvetitz is the Managing Director and Chief Content Officer of FrontPageBets.com. Szvetitz is a 23-year veteran journalist and editor, including 17 years as a sportswriter in Florida, Alabama and Virginia, covering everything from prep to pros. His “View From The Lazy Boy” column has won several state and national awards. He can be reached at [email protected].