We’re looking forward to Palm Sunday (April 2, 2023) when the Toyota Owners 400 comes to us from Richmond Raceway in Richmond, Virginia. This is the 7th 2023 edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Our friends at PrizePicks have a TON of awesome props for us to use.
PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to pick games based on fantasy points or individual stats. The goal is to create a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then choose whether or not you want to play for the powerplay or the flexplay. In powerplay, you must get each of your selections right in order to win. As for the Flex game, you have a little more wiggle room to win back some money.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score, which has a scoring system where first gets 45 points, second gets 42 points, third gets 41 points, and so on. Each guided lap NOW equals an additional 0.25 points. Each fastest lap driven corresponds to 0.45 additional points. Guided laps are 0.25 points per lap and the placement difference is plus or minus one point. In addition, stage wins are each worth one point.
For NASCAR, we’ll try to focus on the motherboard’s Fantasy Score and see which players could be over or under their projected total score. Let’s see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Points Totals
Kyle Larson Less 50.5 points.
The numbers are tough and uncomfortable this week as there was no qualifying (it was raining). Richmond brings mixed results for the No. 5 car (10.8 over the last five races). This includes two top ten results and one top 5 result. Hendrick has been pretty good at these tracks in the past but not good enough to win.
Fast laps don’t seem likely. The concern with our selection is that Larson will start ninth. Was last spring’s race a runaway? Larson improved from 21st to 5th place. Take less risk here, as negative pitch differences were the theme of the other five performances.
Kyle Busch minus 41.5 points.
Again, the choice is not so obvious. Well, a good news scenario is Kyle Busch starting second on Sunday. He has five consecutive top ten results, but all in the Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota. Will that happen again now with Richard Childress Racing and the Chevy?
He didn’t lead many laps, nor did he set many fastest laps. So while it might hang around early, will the Chevy No. 8 be there by the end? That’s a great question. If Busch isn’t leading many laps and is falling behind, those drops can be enough to slide onto the fewer errors.
Brad Keselowski minus 47.5 points.
This is the risk of risks from RFK Racing. Brad Keselowski starts in 24th place and will Keselowski make the top 10 despite some positive history? The problem now is that the last four times in Richmond, Keselowski has finished in the 13th-15th range. With complex mathematics, we don’t get 47.5 points.
The Ford drives just well enough that it will gain some position on the track. Taking less is a challenging decision, but worth a try because of those late fades on Sunday.
Martin Truex Jr. Less 48.5 points.
The danger of ignoring Martin Truex Jr. is that his car will eventually deliver the goods? Since the Coliseum, the Joe Gibbs Racing driver has seen one poor result after another. The year 2023 started pretty badly for the number 19. Worse, he starts Sunday from 12th and had no chance of qualifying.
While that creates a buffer to under dial on Sunday, it leaves less room for error. However, it’s fun to add a little intrigue and still go for this prop, even though Truex Jr. lands four for his last five in the top five results (3.8 avg).
Christopher Bell More 59.5 points.
That might work on Sunday. The idea that Christopher Bell could top 60 points isn’t crazy. He will start 21st, meaning the Joe Gibbs Racing driver can push the field forward. Bell has had three top five finishes in his last five appearances at Richmond. Last spring he led 63 laps and was unlucky enough to shy away from possibly winning the race. He finished sixth.
Now the Toyotas are doing well in Richmond and the other props, including the cars that drove past, were also available for exploration. For us, we’re going to focus on points in the first few weeks. Walk MORE or go home.
- William Byron MORE 61.5 points
- Josh Berry MORE 44.5 points
- Denny Hamlin MORE 51.5 points
- Tyler Reddick. MORE 36.5 points
Play the NASCAR Fantasy Score now on PrizePicks
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